Many countries in NATO, which we are expected to defend, are not only short of their current commitment of 2% (which is low), but are also delinquent for many years in payments that have not been made. Will they reimburse the U.S.?

Donald J. Trump July 10, 2018 - Twitter

Watch Trump Address NATO Leaders

Trump speaking at NATO Summit breakfast
Trump challenges NATO allies on defense spending at the 2018 Brussels Summit

How They Responded: "Trump's Claims Were Misleading"

FactCheck.org Logo FactCheck.org
"President Donald Trump continues to wrongly claim that the United States is paying as much as 90 percent of the cost of operating NATO. The U.S. share of the actual NATO budget is about 22 percent, and while the U.S. defense spending makes up about 67 percent of total defense spending by NATO members, that's not the same as NATO costs."
FactCheck.org Logo FactCheck.org
"At the NATO summit in Brussels, President Donald Trump made several false statements about the defense spending of the member countries. Trump wrongly claimed that NATO members are 'delinquent' in their defense spending, suggesting they owe money to the U.S. or NATO. The 2% of GDP spending goal is a guideline, not a mandate."

The Evidence: Trump Was Right

Despite the widespread criticism, Trump's position on NATO defense spending has been vindicated by subsequent events and acknowledgments from NATO officials themselves.

Key Facts About NATO Spending:

  • In 2016, only 5 of 30 NATO members were meeting the 2% GDP defense spending target Source: BBC News
  • By 2024, 24 out of 32 NATO members are meeting the 2% threshold, showing significant improvement Source: POLITICO Europe
  • European allies and Canada have added $350 billion in new defense spending since 2016 Source: NATO Official Report
  • Poland leads NATO members with 4.12% of GDP spent on defense, with plans to increase to 4.7% Source: Foreign Policy
NATO Defense Spending Increase 2016-2023
NATO Defense Spending as Percentage of GDP (2016-2023) - Source: BBC News

Official Confirmation:

NATO Secretary General's Annual Report 2022

"2022 was the eighth consecutive year of increased defense spending across European Allies and Canada, with a 2.2% increase in real terms in 2022... The trend is positive and unprecedented, but European Allies and Canada must continue their efforts."

View Full Report

The Vindication: Critics Admit Trump Was Right

Jens Stoltenberg, NATO Secretary General
Jens Stoltenberg NATO Secretary General January 27, 2019
"President Trump has been very clear. He is committed to NATO... but at the same time he has clearly stated that NATO allies need to invest more. And now we see the results. NATO allies have heard his message clear and loud. NATO allies are stepping up."
Watch Stoltenberg's full statement on Trump's NATO policy
Mark Rutte, NATO Secretary General
Mark Rutte NATO Secretary General March 14, 2025
"Trump was right that basically the U.S. was getting a bad deal and that Europe was funding its social model, its health care system, its pension system while we're underfunding defense. The problem is that we are not yet all at that 2%. If we look at what happened in the last couple of weeks, it's really staggering. The European countries are spending a package of 800 billion euros on defense spending."
Watch Secretary Rutte's full statement on Trump's NATO policy

Final Analysis

The NATO spending case demonstrates a recurring pattern in Trump's presidency: identifying a legitimate issue, using unconventional and often controversial methods to address it, facing intense criticism, and ultimately being vindicated by events and data.

While his communication style generated significant controversy, the results speak for themselves:

  • NATO allies significantly increased their defense spending following Trump's pressure
  • The NATO Secretary General repeatedly acknowledged the effectiveness of Trump's approach
  • Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 underscored the importance of NATO military readiness
  • Many former critics have grudgingly acknowledged Trump was right about the fundamental issue

This case illustrates that evaluating political figures based on policy outcomes rather than communication style or conventional expectations can yield different conclusions about effectiveness and foresight.

KNOW ANOTHER TIME DONALD TRUMP WAS RIGHT?

Help us document history correctly. Share your example with sources and evidence.

Trump Was Right Hat
Trump Was Right Hat

KNOW ANOTHER TIME DONALD TRUMP WAS RIGHT?

Help us document history correctly. Share your example with sources and evidence.