When Mexico sends its people, they're not sending their best... They're sending people that have lots of problems, and they're bringing those problems with us. They're bringing drugs. They're bringing crime. They're rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.

Donald J. Trump June 16, 2015 - Trump Tower Presidential Campaign Announcement

Watch Trump's Border Security Warnings

Trump speaking about border security
Trump's warnings about the consequences of weak border security policies

How They Responded: "Trump's Claims Are False and Xenophobic"

The Guardian Logo The Guardian
"First-generation immigrants have a significantly lower crime rate than that of the overall population, according to an analysis by University of Massachusetts-Boston sociologist Bianca E Bersani. Trump's claims about Mexican immigrants being criminals are not supported by the data."
Washington Post Logo The Washington Post
"While under President Biden, record numbers of migrants crossed the border, more than 4 million were expelled after they crossed the border. There is no evidence many were violent criminals or released from mental institutions. Immigration experts know of no effort by other countries to systematically send criminals to the United States."
PolitiFact Logo PolitiFact
"While Trump did make controversial statements about Mexican immigrants and crime, he never said 'all Mexicans are rapists' as some critics claimed. His statements, while inflammatory, were more nuanced than often portrayed in media criticism."

Evidence

Border Encounters: Monthly Averages and Recent Trends

The data shows a dramatic turnaround in border security under the Trump administration. After reaching historic highs in 2024, border encounters have plummeted to levels not seen since 2017. The February 2025 numbers show just 81,792 encounters nationwide, with 61,465 at the Southwest border - representing a more than 70% reduction from peak levels.

This dramatic decrease follows President Trump's clear message: "if you cross the border illegally, you will be deported without an opportunity to try another day, or in a few hours." The implementation of strict border policies and immediate deportation protocols has proven effective in deterring illegal crossings.

The Vindication: Biden Administration Finally Acknowledged Crisis

Alejandro Mayorkas, DHS Secretary
Alejandro Mayorkas Secretary of Homeland Security June 4, 2024
"We are experiencing unprecedented challenges at our southern border. The scale of irregular migration and drug trafficking activities has strained our operational capacity and infrastructure beyond sustainable levels. These challenges require immediate action and long-term solutions."
Secretary Mayorkas discusses current border challenges in Congressional testimony
TIME Magazine Logo TIME
"The Administration's plan hinges on collaboration with international partners. Mayorkas acknowledged these are short-term fixes that will not deliver lasting results and called upon Congress to deliver new legislation to address the root causes of the crisis."
House Homeland Security Committee Logo House Homeland Security Committee
"Under Department of Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas and President Joe Biden, FY2024 is starting out right where FY 2023 ended—at historic levels of encounters. With Southwest border encounters up 46% compared to October 2021 and up 4% compared to October 2022."

Final Analysis

The border security data presents an undeniable vindication of Trump's warnings and policies. What his critics once dismissed as "fear-mongering" has been proven to be prescient analysis, with the numbers telling a stark story of policy consequences.

Consider the trajectory:

  • Under Trump's policies in FY 2020: 38,000 monthly encounters
  • Under Biden's policies in FY 2023: 183,000 monthly encounters (a 381% increase)
  • Crisis peak in December 2024: Over 250,000 encounters in a single month
  • After Trump's return and policy reinstatement: Down to 60,000 monthly encounters (a 76% reduction in just 90 days)

The previous administration's dismantling of effective border policies led to exactly what Trump predicted: an unprecedented surge in illegal crossings, overwhelming our border infrastructure and creating both a humanitarian and security crisis. Their "more humane" approach resulted in more human trafficking, more drug smuggling, and more deaths at the border - the very consequences Trump had warned about.

The rapid turnaround since Trump's return to office - achieving a 76% reduction in border encounters in just three months - serves as a powerful reminder that border security is fundamentally a matter of policy choice and political will. When clear consequences are established and consistently enforced, illegal border crossings drop dramatically.

This case stands as one of the most dramatic examples of a political leader being proven right after years of ridicule from media critics and political opponents. The numbers don't lie: Trump's "tough" approach to border security, far from being cruel or ineffective as critics claimed, has proven to be both more humane and more successful than the permissive policies that replaced it.

KNOW ANOTHER TIME DONALD TRUMP WAS RIGHT?

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Trump Was Right Hat
Trump Was Right Hat

KNOW ANOTHER TIME DONALD TRUMP WAS RIGHT?

Help us document history correctly. Share your example with sources and evidence.